What Spike? Hospitalization Data Show No Indication Of A Second Wave

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by Tyler Durden
Thu, 06/18/2020 – 23:00
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/what-spike-hospitalization-data-show-no-indication-second-wave

Authored by Stephen Miller via The American Institute for Economic Research,

Are we on the verge of a second wave of coronavirus infections? Is there a spike in infections in states that reopened first?

The only way to answer that question is to watch as the data roll in. Arguably the best data to look at to see if a second wave is beginning are the hospitalization numbers. The media frequently reports the biggest and most dramatic numbers, often devoid of context. The number of cases has been reported regularly since the early days of the pandemic, and yet we know that the number of cases can be misleading.

As more people are tested and re-tested for the virus, more results will come back positive, with the current number of confirmed cases exceeding 2 million in the U.S. But if we know anything, it is that increases in the number of confirmed cases do not accurately convey how quickly and widely the virus is spreading. Antibody tests and even the examination of sewage in some cities suggest that the number of infections is likely much higher than the number of confirmed cases.

But on the other side, some of the confirmed cases are double-counted in some states partly because both antibody and active virus tests are being counted separately but then combined in the total number of cases. While the antibody tests have been criticized for their false positive rate, another criticism has been that the antibody studies can underreport infection rates because they are not sensitive enough to detect a past mild infection.

Overall, because the bulk of testing is focused on people who are the sickest and who face the greatest exposure, it seems reasonable to conclude that the true number of U.S. infections is substantially higher than the reported figure. But an attempt to estimate the true number of infections would be little better than a guess.

And this presents a problem with the daily updates. To say that a particular state or city is seeing a “spike” in cases is to say that recently they have had an uptick in positive test results. That could be due to more testing and more ways of testing, or it could be a hint of growth in the infection rate.

Better Data are Available
Rather than focus on test results, i.e. “cases,” it would make more sense to focus on how the virus affects society and our institutions, particularly the strain the virus puts on health care facilities and health care providers. An obvious measure, tracked since the beginning of the pandemic, is the number of deaths. As I and others at AIER have noted, the number of deaths is hard to interpret without important context.

The coronavirus is obviously deadly, but how deadly it is seems to depend greatly on how it enters a population and the characteristics of that population. The virus has been far deadlier in New York than it has been in California, and has been most deadly in U.S. long-term care facilities. Among children, the coronavirus is considerably less deadly than seasonal influenza.

Nonetheless, deaths tell us something important about the virus’s impact on society. They profoundly affect entire social networks and are rightly emphasized in pandemic reporting.

When it comes to seeing how things are going now, whether the pandemic is growing worse or fading, deaths are a lagging indicator. They do not begin to spike until infections have already been accelerating rapidly for many days, and they do not decline until well after the virus’s spread has slowed.

The chart below shows that overall, deaths are clearly declining, although there is a weekly cycle where Sundays seem to result in relatively low death counts and Tuesdays and Wednesdays usually have the highest reported numbers. Overall, the past two weeks have had lower death totals than have been seen in the two months prior. But if a second wave were coming soon, we would not see the deaths from it yet.
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Here is another look from the Washington Post.
2020-06-18-14-46-57

In addition to deaths, more attention has shifted to measuring coronavirus-related hospitalizations. Frustratingly, these data tend not to go back as far as numbers on confirmed cases or deaths, but in most states there are hospitalization figures going back over two months. The hospital data are measured two ways, the first being a cumulative measure, similar to the way confirmed cases and deaths are measured.

The number can only go up as more hospitalizations are added to the total. From that number, the daily number of hospitalizations can be plotted; however that number is very noisy because the numbers are submitted at the state level in a variety of ways and do not seem to reflect the true numbers per day.

In other words, the hospitalization numbers seem to come in in clumps. They can be reported as weekly totals or weekly averages, as well. But a weakness of the cumulative data is that they do not tell us much about the burden on hospitals and health care workers. The total number of coronavirus hospitalizations increased dramatically, from zero to nearly 60,000 in a month nationally, and stayed high for weeks afterward. The chart below shows that the decrease in hospitalization has been fairly steady, and overall there is far less strain on the health care system than there was in mid-April.

2020-06-18-14-47-18

The northeastern U.S. was hit hardest, but most states are either seeing declining or flat trends in hospitalizations, with a few notable exceptions such as North Carolina, Texas, and Arizona. But in those states the number of hospitalizations is still relatively low, a fraction of the totals that New York and New Jersey were seeing in April. Claims that Alabama, Georgia, and Florida are emerging “hotspots” are not supported by the hospitalization numbers despite media reports to the contrary.

There are some parts of the country still in the midst of the first wave of coronavirus infections, states that had very low numbers of hospitalizations and deaths in April, but are now beginning to see the virus spread more quickly. But those states are unlikely to see the kind of spread Northeastern states did, and there is hope the virus can be far less deadly going forward if policies can be implemented to better-protect the elderly and vulnerable, especially those living in long-term care facilities.

THREE MEN WHO OWN CORPORATE AMERICA

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(IMAGE CREDITS: ANGELA WEISS | GETTY.)

Why did mega-corporations accept the lockdowns?

Jon Rappoport – JULY 8, 2020 18 Comments
Three Men Who Own Corporate America

Three Men Who Own Corporate America

Airlines, hotel chains—you name it, they all folded when the lockdowns were imposed. They closed up shop, they took a knee, they opted for bailouts. Why?

The CEOs of these corporations are supposed to be hard chargers and ruthless operators. Why didn’t they rebel?

I could cite several reasons. Here I want to focus on a little-known and staggering story.

It starts with an analogy. Imagine an employee of a company who is motivated to speak out against the lockdowns and go public. Then he thinks about the owner of the company. That owner happens to sit on the board of a large hospital.

Uh oh. That owner is SOLIDLY WIRED into official medical reality. He isn’t going to appreciate a naysayer who says the lockdowns are a ridiculous and destructive overreach. Better to stay quiet. Better to fit in and go along.

Okay? Well, it so happens that three of the most powerful corporate bosses in America DO have deep connections to major hospitals, and these three men run corporations that OWN CORPORATE AMERICA.

What?

The three men are Larry Fink, Joseph Hooley, and Mortimer Buckley.

Buckley is the CEO of the Vanguard Group. Hooley is the CEO of State Street. Fink is the CEO of BlackRock.

These three companies are investment funds. Financial services companies.

Buckley is a board member of the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia. From 2011 to 2017, he was chairman of the hospital’s board of trustees. Hooley serves on the president’s council of the Massachusetts General Hospital. Fink is the co-chair of the NYU Langone Medical Center board of trustees.

Let’s look at their companies: State Street, BlackRock, and Vanguard—known as The Big Three. The reference is an article at theconversation.com, “These three firms own corporate America,” 5/19/17, by Jan Fichtner, Eelke Heemskerk, and Javier Garcia-Bernardo.

“Together, BlackRock, Vanguard and State Street have nearly US$11 trillion in assets under management.”

“We found that the Big Three, taken together, have become the largest shareholder in 40% of all publicly listed firms in the United States.”

“In 2015, these 1,600 American firms [the 40%] had combined revenues of about US$9.1 trillion, a market capitalization of more than US$17 trillion, and employed more than 23.5 million people.”

“In the S&P 500 – the benchmark index of America’s largest corporations – the situation is even more extreme. Together, the Big Three are the largest single shareholder in almost 90% of S&P 500 firms, including Apple, Microsoft, ExxonMobil, General Electric and Coca-Cola.”

“What is undeniable is that the Big Three do exert the voting rights attached to these shares. Therefore, they have to be perceived as de facto owners by corporate executives.”

“Whether or not they sought to, the Big Three have accumulated extraordinary shareholder power, and they continue to do so…In many respects, the index fund boom is turning BlackRock, Vanguard and State Street into something resembling low-cost public utilities with a quasi-monopolistic position.”

If the CEO of a corporation whose main shareholder is The Big Three thinks about rebelling against the official medical consensus…

And he knows that The Big Three bosses are heavily wired into the US medical complex…

That CEO has one more reason, among others, to forget about being an old-time hard charger. He has one more reason to swallow his anger when he’s told to lock down and shut down. He has one more reason to knuckle under and play the game. He has one more reason to surrender to a story about a virus and Fauci and Bill Gates. He has one more reason to stand down and stand aside and watch economic devastation sweep over the land. https://theconversation.com/these-three-firms-own-corporate-america-77072
https://www.blackrock.com/corporate/about-us/leadership/larry-fink
https://www.bostonfed.org/people/bank/joseph-hooley.aspx
https://www.fnlondon.com/articles/meet-the-new-ceo-of-vanguard-20170714

We at GrrrGraphics wish everyone a happy 4th of July! America remains the greatest Republic ever created. Yes, we face many problems, but racism is not one of them. There is no ‘systemic racism.’ That is a lie. There remains equal opportunity for all those willing to work hard to obtain success. The Bolsheviks will have […]

via The US Constitution, as originally written, was the best ever attempt at forming a utopia! Corrupt men and women in the Twenty century, who wanted to rule us, decided to change that. So they started a 100 year program in 1913 to turn us back into a “Single” party system. Right now BLM and Antifa are the DNC’s foot soldiers to do that. If they win we will be, at best, like China. They must be defeated at all costs! — Centinel2012

Bayer will pay up to $10.9B to resolve Roundup litigation By Debra Cassens Weiss

Roundupweedkiller
(Image from Shutterstock)

Bayer will pay up to $10.9B to resolve Roundup litigation
By Debra Cassens Weiss
June 24, 2020, 2:57 pm CDT
https://www.abajournal.com/news/article/bayer-will-pay-up-to-10.9b-to-resolve-roundup-litigation

Roundup weed killer

Image from Shutterstock.com.

Bayer AG has agreed to pay up to $10.9 billion to settle current and potentially future litigation contending that its Roundup weed killer causes cancer.

The settlement covers about 75% of 125,000 filed and still unfiled claims in state and federal courts, according to the New York Times, Reuters and a June 24 press release.

The company will pay up to $9.6 billion to resolve current litigation and another $1.25 billion to address potential future litigation. The settlement did not include any admission of liability.

Part of the future litigation fund will be used to create an expert science panel to determine whether the Roundup ingredient glyphosate may cause non-Hodgkin lymphoma and, if so, at what level it becomes dangerous. The findings will bind Bayer as well as the plaintiffs lawyers, according to the New York Times.

About 25,000 claims are not included in the settlement, but the plaintiffs may eventually join, according to lawyer Kenneth Feinberg, who spoke with the New York Times. Feinberg was a court-appointed mediator for the settlement talks.

Feinberg told the New York Times that court closures due to the COVID-19 pandemic may have helped lead to the settlement.

“The pandemic worked to the advantage of settlement because the threat of a scheduled trial was unavailable,” Feinberg said.

The three Roundup cases that have gone to trial—resulting in verdicts for the plaintiffs—will continue through the appellate process and are not covered by the settlement. The highest verdict was $2 billion; it was reduced to $86.7 million

Roundup is made by Monsanto, which was acquired by Bayer in 2018.

Bayer also announced that it resolved most litigation over polychlorinated biphenyls, or PCB, exposure in water for $820 million and litigation over damage to crops caused by drift of the herbicide dicamba for up to $400 million, according to the press release.

See also:

ABAJournal.com: “Federal judge sanctions lead lawyer in Roundup trial for opening statement ‘misconduct’”

ABAJournal.com: “Lawyer who successfully sued Roundup is accused of trying to extort $200M from unnamed company”

ABAJournal.com: “Judge refuses to block maker of Roundup weed killer from geofencing around courthouse”

ABAJournal.com: “Roundup weed killer was substantial factor in man’s cancer, jurors find in second trial”

Does anyone believe that Bayer would pay that much, if Roundup was safe?

National Liberty Alliance Member Needs Help

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ANNOUNCEMENTS

Here is a note from one of our members who is in great need of our help. His name is Ron Hatton. If you can help, it will be greatly appreciated.

Thanks,

Jan

Hello, to you, my friends and associates.
I was almost murdered on Wednesday June the 3rd after agreeing to take a man to visit his ailing mother in Stockton, CA. When I was dropping him off (he was beginning to scare me), he beat me severely, and since I couldn’t just let him steal my van, drug me 1/4 mile down the road with my body stuck under the van (with a flat tire) before managing to throw my body into a guardrail at about 30 mph.

There is almost none of my body that isn’t damaged. I need assistance in many ways. I have lost a goodly portion of the skin (down to the muscle) on my left side, with less damage on the other areas, and not a portion of my body untouched (save for my right ring finger and my winky. Thank god for that!) and is more painful than anything I can remember, and can’t even imagine until now.

I don’t like asking for help, as you all know. Also, as I have dedicated my life to helping others for more than a decade, and now need help in the worst of ways, I thought I would ask you all to help spread the word to your friends in the hope of meeting the tremendous financial burden this has put on my life.

I would love it if you took a moment to check out my GoFundMe campaign:
https://www.gofundme.com/f/almost-dead-by-demon?utm_source=customer&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=p_cf+share-flow-1

Your support would mean a lot to me. Thank you so much! I mean it.
Ron Hatton
“Gadgetman”
406-422-3291

We need an anti-psycopathic vaccine. The condition is spreading fast in the world of mandatory vaccine hucksters. https://www.lewrockwell.com/2020/06/joseph-mercola/newborns-to-be-separated-from-parents-for-covid-19-testing/ By Joseph Mercola Mercola.com The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation is the biggest funder of vaccines in the entire world and, according to Gates, its COVID-19 vaccination effort “dwarfs anything we’ve ever worked on before.”1 Indeed, Gates push […]

via Newborns To Be Separated From Parents for COVID-19 Testing — MCViewPoint

ANTIFA And BLM Rioters Are Now Coast-To-Coast And Threatening Suburban Areas As Demonic Trail Of Violence And Bloodshed Leaves 12 Dead So Far

MW-IH669-Police-20200602071230-ZQ
(17 hours ago Marketwatch)

ANTIFA And BLM Rioters Are Now Coast-To-Coast And Threatening Suburban Areas As Demonic Trail Of Violence And Bloodshed Leaves 12 Dead So Far
Tuesday, June 2, 2020 17:33

https://beforeitsnews.com/global-unrest/2020/06/antifa-and-blm-rioters-are-now-coast-to-coast-and-threatening-suburban-areas-as-demonic-trail-of-violence-and-bloodshed-leaves-12-dead-so-far-2528668.html

The majority of those who have died in the riots at the hands of ANTIFA were black, which is a stunning statistic when you consider that ANTIFA is mostly white.

Do you see this as an ‘organic movement to protest police violence’? I see nothing of the kind. I see rioters, looters, thieves, assaulters and all manner of degenerate humanity being sent in as an ersatz military force by the global elites to tear society down to shreds, so that a New World Order can rise up in its place. This is nothing to do with the death of George Floyd, and everything to do with the rising, lawless spirit of Antichrist.

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(Getty Images)

When was the last time you read about a ‘peace movement’ that had a death toll? Unless you are talking about Islamic terrorism and their bogus ‘religion of peace’ nonsense, you’d have to concede that members of a ‘peace movement’ causing the death of other people is an idea diametrically opposed to the concept of peace. ANTIFA and BLM have no intentions of stopping, and I highly urge you to take common sense precautions as the riots spread. Do not stop on the road if ANTIFA blocks the traffic, do not walk down any city streets without carrying legal firearms protection, should you meet up with the rioters, take them at face value and proceed accordingly. The majority of those who have died in the riots at the hands of ANTIFA were black, which is a stunning statistic when you consider that ANTIFA is mostly white.

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(Getty Images)

A Sample Of Those Have Been Killed In The Riots Thus Far:

David McAtee was a 53-year-old African American.
Dave Patrick Underwood was a police officer.
Chris Beaty a former offensive lineman for Indiana University.
Italia Kelly 22, who was shot Monday while leaving a protest outside a Walmart.
Calvin L. Horton Jr. was fatally shot outside a pawn shop last week.
James Scurlock, a 22-year-old black man.
A 21-year-old man was killed in downtown Detroit.
Two people were killed during unrest Monday in the suburb of Cicero. source
About a dozen deaths have been reported around the country over the past week.

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(Getty Images)

FROM THE AP: In New York on Monday night, people smashed shop windows near Rockefeller Center and breached the doors of Macy’s flagship store on 34th Street despite the first curfew in the city in decades. Police said nearly 700 people were arrested and several officers injured in the overnight violence.

New York and other cities braced for more trouble after nightfall Tuesday, with Mayor Bill de Blasio extending an 8 p.m. curfew all week.

“We’re going to have a tough few days,” he warned, but added: “We’re going to beat it back.” He said he would do that with the help of community leaders, urging them to step forward: “Create peace. … Stand up.”

More than 20,000 National Guard members have been called up in 29 states to deal with the violence. New York is not among them. De Blasio has said he does not want the Guard, and Democratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo has said he will not send it into the city against the mayor’s wishes.

— Ami Horowitz (@AmiHorowitz) June 2, 2020

During the violence that gripped communities from coast to coast again on Monday night, police officers were shot, run over and showered with rocks and bottles.

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(Getty Images)

In Atlanta, police fired tear gas at demonstrators. In Nashville, more than 60 National Guard members put down their riot shields at the request of peaceful protesters. And at a demonstration in Buffalo, New York, an SUV plowed into a group of officers, injuring three.

An officer was shot and gravely wounded as police tried to disperse a crowd outside a Las Vegas hotel and casino. Four officers were shot in St. Louis; they were expected to recover.

“We have been sitting on a powder keg for some time and it has burst,” Philadelphia Police Commissioner Danielle Outlaw said.

In Philadelphia, where hundreds of protesters spilled onto a highway in the heart of the city, Mayor Jim Kenney described a chaotic night in which one person was killed attempting to use explosives to open an ATM, a gun shop owner fatally shot a would-be thief, and a 19-year-old died of injuries during looting.

About a dozen other deaths have been reported around the country over the past week. Some protesters framed the burgeoning movement as a necessity after a string of killings by police.

“I fear for my safety every time I get in the car to go for a drive. I fear of getting pulled over. I fear for all 10 of my brothers’ and sisters’ lives, for my parents’ lives!” 19-year-old Amari Burroughs of Parkland, Florida, said Tuesday as she prepared for another protest. “My goal is to use my voice and my leadership to make this world safer so that one day I can bring children here and won’t have to fear for their safety.”

Outside the Minnesota Capitol in St. Paul, where a youth protest was held Tuesday, 18-year-old Joseph Tawah agreed.

“It’s really hard not to feel afraid,” he said.

More than 5,600 people nationwide have been arrested over the past week for such offenses as stealing, blocking highways and breaking curfew, according to a count by The Associated Press.

In Richmond, Virginia, several hundred people gathered outside City Hall on Tuesday, shouting down Mayor Levar Stoney, who apologized for police lobbing tear gas at peaceful demonstrators.

“Where were you last night when we were being tear-gassed?” a woman yelled. “Where were you? Where were you? Where were you?” the crowd chanted.

Meanwhile, Democratic governors and mayors rejected Trump’s threat to send in the military, questioning whether the federal government has such authority and warning that such a step would be incendiary.

De Blasio said military troops would create “a dangerous scenario,” while Colorado Gov. Jared Polis and Denver Mayor Michael Hancock likewise warned such a move would just lead to more violence and destruction.

“Denver is not Little Rock in 1957, and Donald Trump is not President Eisenhower. This is a time for healing, for bringing people together, and the best way to protect civil rights is to move away from escalating violence,” they said in a statement, referring to Eisenhower’s use of troops to enforce school desegregation in the South.

Even some in the president’s own party rebuffed the idea, including Tennessee Gov. Bill Lee, who said his state has what it needs.

“The military is here to protect and defend this country. We don’t have that need here in this state,” he said.

A senior White House official said Tuesday that despite Trump’s threats, the goal was to pressure governors to deploy more National Guard members. The president is not rushing to use the Insurrection Act to send in the military, according to the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

The unrest in Minneapolis, meanwhile, appeared to stabilize on the same day Floyd’s brother made an impassioned plea for peace at the spot where a white police officer, Derek Chauvin, put his knee on the handcuffed black man’s neck for several minutes, even after he stopped moving and pleading for air.

Chauvin has been charged with murder. Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison said Tuesday that prosecutors were working as fast as they can to determine if the three other officers at the scene should be charged too. All four have been fired. Floyd’s family was expected to join a march in Houston on Tuesday.

The state of Minnesota opened an investigation into whether the Minneapolis Police Department has a pattern of discrimination against minorities. Cities struggled to keep police in line and avoid instances of excessive force.

The police chief in Louisville, Kentucky, was fired after a restaurant owner was killed by police and National Guard members enforcing a curfew. In Richmond, the police chief said officers who used tear gas on a group of peaceful protesters would be disciplined. In Atlanta, six officers were charged Tuesday after a video showed authorities dragging two young people from a car during protests.

Sending the military into the states would mark a stunning federal intervention rarely seen in modern American history. It drew comparisons to 1968, when Richard Nixon ran as the law-and-order candidate in the aftermath of riots following the assassination of the Rev. Martin Luther King Jr.

Federal law allows presidents to dispatch the military into states to suppress an insurrection or if a state is defying federal law, legal experts said. But some state officials asserted that the president does not have a unilateral right to send in troops against the will of local governments. READ MORE

——————
The real shame of a lot of what is happening, is that they lie about a lot of things. They don’t show the people black and white helping each other through this, they don’t show the peaceful protests. They are so hell-bent on getting the black and whites to distrust and yes, even hate each other, that they don’t show the human side of what is really going on.

This was planned, just like the virus was a plandemic. People wake up!
Stop the Hate, and direct your energies into getting rid of those who want to divide us!

BBC: Coronavirus: Bill Gates ‘microchip’ conspiracy theory and other vaccine claims fact-checked. “Speculation about a future coronavirus vaccine is ramping up and social-media posts from anti-vaccination campaigners are gaining more traction online. We’ve been debunking a few recent claims.”

via Coronavirus: Bill Gates ‘microchip’ conspiracy theory and other vaccine claims fact-checked (BBC) — ResearchBuzz: Firehose

Laywers Need to Wake Up… The Question: Could you be replaced by a robot lawyer?

shutterstock-cyborg-face
(cyborg face Image from Shutterstock.com.)

Could you be replaced by a robot lawyer?
BY STEPHANIE FRANCIS WARD
MAY 26, 2020, 3:06 PM CDT
https://www.abajournal.com/news/article/asked-and-answered-podcast-monthly-episode-128

Do you really need a human for the so-called human touch in lawyering, particularly when a big part of the job is convincing the client to be reasonable? Maybe not, according to some people who created apps that they claim help people accomplish tasks traditionally carried out by lawyers.

This includes tasks such as working out custody disputes with an ex or finding something that two people at odds in a business deal can agree on to work past a dispute.

In this new episode of the ABA Journal’s Asked and Answered podcast, Senior Writer Stephanie Francis Ward talks with legal technologists about how their apps are working to do things such as detect and block sarcasm in texts between parents at odds with each other and quickly find middle ground between people battling over small amounts of money.

Weighing in on the topic are Colin Rule, the vice president of online dispute resolution for Tyler Technologies, who previously handled online dispute resolution for eBay and PayPal; Warren Agin, a managing director of Elevate Services, who is on the governing council of the ABA’s Center for Innovation; Sherrill Ellsworth, a retired family law court judge from Riverside, California, who co-founded coParenter, an app that helps with parenting plans; and Joshua Browder, an ABA Journal Legal Rebel and the founder of DoNotPay, an app that has advertising language promising to “sue anyone at the press of a button.”